Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Togo U20 vs Mali U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Togo U20 in this CAF African Championship U20 2015 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Togo U20
15%
Draws
59%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Togo U20 haven't matched Mali U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Mali U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Togo U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Togo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Togo U20 Mali U20
Matches Played 21 35
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.81 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Togo U20 vs Mali U20
1:0
Aug 17, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Togo U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Togo U20 36 / 100
Mali U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Togo U20 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Togo U20 found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (21 games).

Togo U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Togo U20 VS Mali U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo U20

(Home)
02 Aug
Ghana U20
0 : 0
Togo U20
30 Jul
Nigeria U20
3 : 0
Togo U20
27 Jul
Togo U20
1 : 3
Burkina Faso U20
19 Jul
Togo U20
2 : 0
Benin U20
17 Jul
Togo U20
0 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
Page 1 of 5

Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -