Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Kégué, Lomé

Togo

3 - 0

Equatorial Guinea

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Annor Y.

Assist: Klidje T.

53'

Denkey K.

Assist: Djene

57'

Sub

Asue L. In: Akogo G.

Out: Asue L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Togo in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Togo

35%

Draws

20%

Equatorial Guinea

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Togo haven't matched Equatorial Guinea's recent run of results.
45% — that's where the model lands on Togo taking it.
Equatorial Guinea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Togo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Togo Clean Sheet 68%

Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Togo	Equatorial Guinea
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	6	8
Draws	13	7
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1	0.79
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Togo vs Equatorial Guinea

3:0

Sep 9, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Equatorial Guinea vs Togo

2:2

Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International

Equatorial Guinea vs Togo

2:2

Oct 13, 2019 Friendly International

Equatorial Guinea vs Togo

1:1

Jun 5, 2013 Friendly International

Equatorial Guinea vs Togo

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Annor Y.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Denkey K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Equatorial Guinea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51

Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Togo 95 / 100

Equatorial Guinea 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Togo Equatorial Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Togo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Togo found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Equatorial Guinea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Togo VS Equatorial Guinea

1.25 Goals Scored 0.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

38% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo

(Home)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Central Africa

1 : 1

Togo

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

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Equatorial Guinea

(Away)

09 Jun

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Comoros

31 Mar

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 1

Madagascar

25 Mar

Kyrgyzstan

0 : 1

Equatorial Guinea

31 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 3

Algeria

28 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Sudan

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