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Toi Seng vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Toi Seng Logo

Toi Seng

1 - 6
FT
Monte Carlo Logo

Monte Carlo

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ka Kin C.
21'
Ka Kin C.
38' Event
Wong C. S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monte Carlo in this Elite League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Toi Seng
20%
Draws
51%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Toi Seng haven't matched Monte Carlo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Monte Carlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 10%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toi Seng Monte Carlo
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.06 2.3
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Monte Carlo
1:6
Apr 30, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Toi Seng
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toi Seng Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheok K. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Wong C. S.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toi Seng 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toi Seng Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Monte Carlo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Toi Seng's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Recent resilience: Toi Seng stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toi Seng VS Monte Carlo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
6 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toi Seng

(Home)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
Page 1 of 4

Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)