Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokai vs Otsuka

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2004
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tokai in this Emperors Cup 2004 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tokai
15%
Draws
57%
Otsuka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otsuka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Otsuka have won more games recently than Tokai.
  • Win probability leans Otsuka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Otsuka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tokai, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tokai Clean Sheet 10%
Otsuka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokai Otsuka
Matches Played 9 13
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.22 3.23
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2004 Emperors Cup
Tokai vs Otsuka
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokai 10 / 100
Otsuka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokai Otsuka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otsuka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Otsuka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 13 matches.

Away concern: Otsuka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tokai's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tokai VS Otsuka
1.25 Goals Scored 3.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokai

(Home)
19 Sept
Sanyo Elecrtic Tokushima
1 : 0
Tokai
17 Sept
Takada
2 : 0
Tokai
10 Oct
Tokai
1 : 2
Horikoshi Gunma
26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2
Otsuka
30 Nov
Tokai
0 : 7
Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 2

Otsuka

(Away)
26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2
Otsuka
14 Dec
Chiba
5 : 0
Otsuka
07 Dec
Otsuka
6 : 0
TDK SC
30 Nov
Iwami
0 : 5
Otsuka
15 Dec
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 0
Otsuka
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Verdy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Japan Soccer -
Chukyo -
TBD -
Chiba U18 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Honda FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sapporo University FC -
Shizuoka Sangyo -
TBD -
TBD -
Centralde Chugoku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryukyu 3
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
TBD -
Fukuoka Univ. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montedio Yamagata -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Momoyama Gauin Univ. -
TBD -
TBD -
National Institute of Fitness and Sports in Kanoya -
Matto FC -
TBD -
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Thespakusatsu Gunma -
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Kumamoto 5
Juko Nagasaki 2
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Takamatsu Kita H.S. -
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Mito -
Vissel Kobe -
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Ehime -
TBD -
Hannan 1
Kochi 2
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Kawasaki Frontale -
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
Kihoku -
TBD -
Fuji University -
Oita Trinita -
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Sagan Tosu -
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Gainare Tottori 3
TDK SC 2
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Tochigi SC -
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Gamba Osaka -
Urawa Reds -
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Tenri -
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Haguro H.S. -
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Saga University -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Avispa Fukuoka -
Albirex Niigata -
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Vanraure -
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Central Kobe -
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TBD -
Yokkaichi Univ. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nagano Elsa -
TBD -
Teikyo H.S. 1
Honda Lock 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Chiba -
Kofu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yumoto H.S. -
TBD -
Maruoka H. S. 1
Sony Sendai 6
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kihoku -
TBD -
Fuji University 0
Oita Trinita 1
Horikoshi Gunma -
TBD -
TBD -
Sayama -
Otsuka -
TBD -
TBD -
Tokai -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Kashiwa Reysol -
Sagawa -
TBD -
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Ryutsu Keizai University -
Komazawa -
TBD -
Japan Soccer 1
Chukyo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iwata -
1/64-finals
Verdy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Japan Soccer 0
Chiba U18 0
TBD -
Kyoto -
Honda FC 3
Sapporo University FC 2
Shizuoka Sangyo 1
Centralde Chugoku 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryukyu 1
Fukuoka Univ. 0
TBD -
Montedio Yamagata -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Momoyama Gauin Univ. 2
National Institute of Fitness and Sports in Kanoya 0
Matto FC 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma 6
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Takamatsu Kita H.S. 0
TBD -
Mito -
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ehime 3
Kochi 0
TBD -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Kihoku -
Oita Trinita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 0
Tochigi SC 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenri -
TBD -
Haguro H.S. 0
Saga University 2
TBD -
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Avispa Fukuoka -
Albirex Niigata -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure 3
Central Kobe 1
TBD -
Yokkaichi Univ. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
Nagano Elsa 1
Honda Lock 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chiba -
Kofu -
TBD -
Yumoto H.S. 0
Sony Sendai 5
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Kihoku 1
Oita Trinita 2
Horikoshi Gunma 2
Sayama 1
Otsuka 2
Tokai 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Sagawa 2
Ryutsu Keizai University 0
Komazawa 1
Chukyo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iwata -
1/32-finals
Verdy -
TBD -
Japan Soccer 2
Kyoto 11
Honda FC 8
Centralde Chugoku 0
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Ryukyu 2
Montedio Yamagata 3
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Momoyama Gauin Univ. 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Kumamoto 0
Mito 4
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Ehime 0
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Yokohama FC -
Oita Trinita -
TBD -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Sagan Tosu 2
Tochigi SC 0
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenri 3
Saga University 1
TBD -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure 8
Yokkaichi Univ. 3
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Honda Lock 1
TBD -
Chiba -
Kofu 1
Sony Sendai 0
Yokohama FC 4
Oita Trinita 0
Horikoshi Gunma 2
Tokai 1
TBD -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Sagawa 3
Chukyo 2
TBD -
Iwata -
1/16-finals
Verdy 2
Kyoto 1
Honda FC 0
Nagoya Grampus 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Cerezo Osaka 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 2
Kashima Antlers 1
Mito 0
Vissel Kobe 2
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Yokohama FC 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tenri 1
Avispa Fukuoka 9
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Chiba 1
Kofu 1
Oita Trinita 2
Horikoshi Gunma 1
Kashiwa Reysol 0
Sagawa 2
Iwata 3
1/8-finals
Verdy 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 2
Kashima Antlers 3
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Yokohama FC 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Urawa Reds 3
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shonan Bellmare 3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Oita Trinita 0
Horikoshi Gunma 1
Iwata 2
Quarter-finals
Verdy 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Kashima Antlers 0
Gamba Osaka 1
Urawa Reds 3
Shonan Bellmare 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0
Iwata 1
Semi-finals
Verdy 3
Gamba Osaka 1
Urawa Reds 1
Iwata 2
Final
Verdy 2
Iwata 1