Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Duzcespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Varlik G.
Assist: Calis O.
84' Event
Kara Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Tokat Bld Plevnespor and Duzcespor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokat Bld Plevnespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
44%
Draws
20%
Duzcespor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Duzcespor have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Tokat Bld Plevnespor are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor Clean Sheet 20%
Duzcespor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokat Bld Plevnespor Duzcespor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Duzcespor
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Duzcespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Duzcespor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Duzcespor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Varlik G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kara Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Duzcespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 36 / 100
Duzcespor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokat Bld Plevnespor Duzcespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokat Bld Plevnespor found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Duzcespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tokat Bld Plevnespor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tokat Bld Plevnespor VS Duzcespor
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

(Home)
18 Apr
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
12 Apr
Yozgat
2 : 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
05 Apr
52 Orduspor
6 : 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
29 Mar
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2 : 0
Giresunspor
25 Mar
Pazarspor
0 : 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Page 1 of 6

Duzcespor

(Away)
18 Apr
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
12 Apr
Duzcespor
2 : 2
52 Orduspor
05 Apr
Giresunspor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
29 Mar
Duzcespor
1 : 0
Pazarspor
25 Mar
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 2
Duzcespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)