Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3

Karadeniz Eregli

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tokat Bld Plevnespor play Karadeniz Eregli in the 3. Lig Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tokat Bld Plevnespor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Karadeniz Eregli averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Tokat Bld Plevnespor won 0, Karadeniz Eregli won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Tokat Bld Plevnespor and 1.56 for Karadeniz Eregli. This points to a Karadeniz Eregli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

23%

Draws

49%

Karadeniz Eregli

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Karadeniz Eregli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Tokat Bld Plevnespor picked up more points recently compared to Karadeniz Eregli.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Clean Sheet 15%

Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	7
Goals Scored	1.03	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.27	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Eregli

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Oct 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Karadeniz Eregli vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozer A. C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayar B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 / 100

Karadeniz Eregli 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Karadeniz Eregli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karadeniz Eregli or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tokat Bld Plevnespor attacking → ← attacking Karadeniz Eregli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokat Bld Plevnespor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Karadeniz Eregli let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Karadeniz Eregli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 53

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21