Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

1 - 2

Karadeniz Eregli

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Bayar B.

Assist: Sivri M. E.

37'

Ozer A. C.

Assist: Colak H.

90'

Bilen N.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Tokat Bld Plevnespor and Karadeniz Eregli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

39%

Draws

30%

Karadeniz Eregli

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Karadeniz Eregli come out ahead of Tokat Bld Plevnespor on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Clean Sheet 15%

Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	7
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Eregli

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Oct 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Karadeniz Eregli vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozer A. C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayar B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 31 / 100

Karadeniz Eregli 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Karadeniz Eregli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karadeniz Eregli let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Tokat Bld Plevnespor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tokat Bld Plevnespor VS Karadeniz Eregli

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21