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Tokushima vs Imabari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tokushima host Imabari in the J2 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Imabari have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Tokushima have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Tokushima slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.31, favoring Tokushima. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tokushima
15%
Draws
42%
Imabari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tokushima have won more games recently than Imabari.
  • Win probability leans Tokushima's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 18%
Imabari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokushima Imabari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Imabari
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Imabari vs Tokushima
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Imabari
1:0
May 31, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Tokushima
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 J.League Cup
Imabari vs Tokushima
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokushima 36 / 100
Imabari 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokushima Imabari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imabari let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Tokushima scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Imabari's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tokushima VS Imabari
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokushima

(Home)
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
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Imabari

(Away)
03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2
Imabari
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
2 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
3 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
4 Omiya Ardija 9 4 5 0 17:8 17
5 Yokohama FC 9 5 2 2 18:11 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Fujieda MYFC 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
8 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
9 Tokushima 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
10 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
11 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
12 Oita Trinita 9 2 5 2 9:7 11
13 Tochigi City 9 3 1 5 15:15 10
14 Iwata 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
15 Vanraure 9 3 1 5 5:14 10
16 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
17 Sagan Tosu 9 2 2 5 8:12 8
18 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
19 Imabari 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
20 Kofu 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)