Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokushima vs Nara Club

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Nakayama M. In: Yoshida A.
Out: Nakayama M.
44' Event
Kawasaki S.
53' Event
Kanuma N.
Assist: Kodama S.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tokushima and Nara Club finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nara Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tokushima
30%
Draws
34%
Nara Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nara Club haven't matched Tokushima's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tokushima taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 11%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokushima Nara Club
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Nara Club
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nara Club vs Tokushima
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanuma N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawasaki S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morita R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokushima 35 / 100
Nara Club 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokushima Nara Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokushima scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Nara Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Tokushima has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tokushima VS Nara Club
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokushima

(Home)
07 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 0
Iwaki
30 May
Tokushima
3 : 1
Sagan Tosu
24 May
Tokushima
2 : 1
Imabari
17 May
Toyama
2 : 3
Tokushima
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

Nara Club

(Away)
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Nara Club
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3
Oita Trinita
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1
Toyama
16 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Nara Club
10 May
Tokushima
1 : 2
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)