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Stadium Background

Tokushima vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tokushima host Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2 League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Tokushima have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.21. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.94 - 1.38) back Tegevajaro Miyazaki to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tokushima
20%
Draws
61%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tegevajaro Miyazaki lately — more wins on the board than Tokushima.
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 17%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokushima Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokushima 10 / 100
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokushima Tegevajaro Miyazaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tokushima scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Tokushima went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tokushima VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokushima

(Home)
03 Nov
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 0
Tokushima
31 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Yokohama FC
24 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 1
Tokushima
21 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Vanraure
17 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 0
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Away)
03 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 0
Tochigi City
31 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
25 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
21 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1
Blaublitz
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albirex Niigata 15 9 2 4 22:24 29
2 Toyama 15 8 4 3 27:14 28
3 Yokohama FC 15 8 4 3 28:17 28
4 Omiya Ardija 15 7 6 2 27:18 27
5 Vegalta Sendai 15 8 3 4 23:14 27
6 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 15 7 5 3 24:16 26
7 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 15 7 2 6 21:19 23
8 Oita Trinita 15 5 7 3 18:12 22
9 Iwata 15 6 4 5 18:16 22
10 Shonan Bellmare 15 5 7 3 15:14 22
11 Iwaki 15 6 2 7 24:22 20
12 Sagan Tosu 15 6 2 7 15:17 20
13 Montedio Yamagata 15 6 1 8 14:14 19
14 Blaublitz 15 4 5 6 16:17 17
15 Tokushima 15 5 2 8 11:15 17
16 Fujieda MYFC 15 3 7 5 17:17 16
17 Vanraure 15 4 2 9 11:25 14
18 Tochigi City 15 3 3 9 21:28 12
19 Imabari 15 3 3 9 16:31 12
20 Kofu 15 3 3 9 11:29 12
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)