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Toledo vs Azuqueca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sotos J.
49' Event
Saiz Ramirez G.
75' Event
Bamba Y.

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Toledo
44%
Draws
20%
Azuqueca
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Azuqueca haven't matched Toledo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Toledo Clean Sheet 20%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Azuqueca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Azuqueca
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Toledo
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Toledo
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Azuqueca
2:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Toledo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sotos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saiz Ramirez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Azuqueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 36 / 100
Azuqueca 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Azuqueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Azuqueca let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Toledo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Azuqueca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0
Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Puertollano C.F.
26 Apr
San Clemente
0 : 4
Toledo
Page 1 of 6

Azuqueca

(Away)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puertollano C.F.34228454:2174
2CD Tarancon34227562:2573
3Toledo341911455:1768
4Albacete B341713449:1764
5Manchego Ciudad Real34187952:2961
6Villarrubia341581142:3553
7Villacanas3412121029:2648
8San Clemente3412111136:4447
9CD Guadalajara B3411101330:3743
10Villarrobledo3410131130:3643
11Huracan de Balazote341251733:4541
12Illescas348131321:3237
13Marchamalo341071738:4737
14La Solana348111526:3835
15Azuqueca347131434:3934
16CD Pedroneras347121528:4333
17Sonseca34572228:6922
18Cazalegas34462417:6418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 (Play Offs)