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Toledo vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
Toledo Logo

Toledo

1 - 0
FT
CD Coria Logo

CD Coria

Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Molina L.
(Penalty)
89'
Llerena G.
89'
Llerena G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Copa Federacion 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toledo
30%
Draws
39%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Coria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Coria lately — more wins on the board than Toledo.
  • Model gives Toledo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • CD Coria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Toledo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Toledo Clean Sheet 13%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo CD Coria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Copa Federacion
Toledo vs CD Coria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 35 / 100
CD Coria 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Coria let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Toledo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS CD Coria
1 Goals Scored 2
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
CD Laguna 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0