Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs Galo Maringa

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Adiel
63' Event
Iruan
84' Event
Iruan

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Galo Maringa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Toledo
15%
Draws
0%
Galo Maringa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Toledo haven't matched Galo Maringa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Galo Maringa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Galo Maringa, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Galo Maringa here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Toledo Clean Sheet 68%
Galo Maringa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Galo Maringa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Paranaense 2
Galo Maringa vs Toledo
7:0
Jun 14, 2025 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Galo Maringa
0:3
May 10, 2025 Paranaense 2
Galo Maringa vs Toledo
3:0
May 15, 2022 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Galo Maringa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Galo Maringa Compare

Top Goalscorer Iruan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 41 / 100
Galo Maringa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Galo Maringa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Galo Maringa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Toledo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Galo Maringa let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Galo Maringa
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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Galo Maringa

(Away)
07 Feb
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
01 Feb
Galo Maringa
0 : 5
Maringa FC
24 Jan
Athletico-PR
4 : 1
Galo Maringa
20 Jan
Galo Maringa
1 : 4
Maringa FC
17 Jan
Londrina
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Toledo 0
Galo Maringa 10
Nacional PR 2
Patriotas 1
Laranja Mecanica 4
Paranavai-PR 5
Batel 2
Foz do Iguacu 5
Semi-finals
Galo Maringa 7
Nacional PR 2
Paranavai-PR 2
Foz do Iguacu 3
Final
Galo Maringa 5
Foz do Iguacu 3