Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs Hope Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Julio
49' Event
Cirilo
56' Event
Thiago L. J.

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Paranaense 3 2024 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Toledo
30%
Draws
47%
Hope Internacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hope Internacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Toledo have won more games recently than Hope Internacional.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hope Internacional taking it.
  • Toledo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Toledo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Toledo Clean Sheet 18%
Hope Internacional Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Hope Internacional
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Hope Internacional
5:0
Nov 3, 2024 Paranaense 3
Hope Internacional vs Toledo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Honorio A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Julio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hope Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 10 / 100
Hope Internacional 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Hope Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hope Internacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Toledo found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Hope Internacional let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Toledo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Hope Internacional
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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Hope Internacional

(Away)
12 Sept
Hope Internacional
1 : 1
City London
06 Sept
City London
4 : 3
Hope Internacional
30 Aug
Iraty
1 : 4
Hope Internacional
22 Aug
Samas
1 : 2
Hope Internacional
16 Aug
Hope Internacional
0 : 0
AA Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Batel 6
Rolandia EC 0
Iraty 2
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 3
Vere FC 1
Oeste Brasil 0
Toledo 3
Semi-finals
Batel 4
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 1
Toledo 8
Final
Batel 2
Toledo 1