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Toledo vs Huracan de Balazote - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toledo host Huracan de Balazote in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Little to choose between these two on current form. Huracan de Balazote have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Toledo have conceded 0.69 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor Toledo slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.00, favoring Toledo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Toledo
15%
Draws
0%
Huracan de Balazote
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Huracan de Balazote haven't matched Toledo's recent run of results.
  • Toledo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Toledo Clean Sheet 20%
Huracan de Balazote Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Huracan de Balazote
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.66 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Huracan de Balazote vs Toledo
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Huracan de Balazote
2:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Huracan de Balazote
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Huracan de Balazote vs Toledo
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Huracan de Balazote
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 85 / 100
Huracan de Balazote 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Huracan de Balazote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huracan de Balazote lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Toledo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Huracan de Balazote conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Toledo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Huracan de Balazote
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
Toledo
4 : 0
La Solana
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
Page 1 of 7

Huracan de Balazote

(Away)
04 Oct
Huracan de Balazote
3 : 5
San Clemente
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Villacanas
3 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)