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Toledo vs Madridejos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toledo play Madridejos in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021. Toledo are favorites here. Recently, Toledo averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Madridejos averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Toledo won 4, Madridejos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2021 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Toledo and 0.81 for Madridejos. This points to a Toledo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Toledo
6%
Draws
4%
Madridejos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Toledo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Madridejos.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Toledo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Toledo Clean Sheet 20%
Madridejos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Madridejos
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Madridejos
4:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs Toledo
0:3
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Madridejos
3:0
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs Toledo
1:2
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Madridejos vs Toledo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 85 / 100
Madridejos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Madridejos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Madridejos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Toledo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Madridejos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albacete B20143334:945
2Puertollano C.F.20135238:1344
3Quintanar del Rey20105531:1635
4Manchego Ciudad Real2078521:1729
5La Roda2084816:2228
6Huracan de Balazote2074922:2725
7Atletico Ibanes20411516:2123
8UD Almansa2065919:2523
9Manzanares20461016:3118
10La Solana20451116:2917
11Almagro20421414:3314
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marchamalo20143325:1045
2Toledo20113631:1536
3Torrijos2088425:1832
4Guadalajara2094727:2131
5Villacanas2086619:1630
6CD Tarancon2092924:1929
7Azuqueca2083922:2427
8Illescas2067718:2125
9Conquense20641016:2422
10Madridejos20431314:3515
11CD Pedroneras20351212:3014