Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs Oeste Brasil

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Renan Cosenza
90'
Athos
90'
Athos

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Toledo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toledo
30%
Draws
39%
Oeste Brasil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oeste Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Toledo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oeste Brasil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Toledo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Toledo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Toledo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Toledo Clean Sheet 17%
Oeste Brasil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Oeste Brasil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Oeste Brasil
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Paranaense 3
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Paranaense 3
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Oeste Brasil
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Paranaense
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Cosenza
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arthur P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Oeste Brasil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 10 / 100
Oeste Brasil 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Oeste Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oeste Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oeste Brasil has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Toledo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Toledo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Oeste Brasil
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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Oeste Brasil

(Away)
12 Sept
Oeste Brasil
2 : 3
CA Cambe
06 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
23 Aug
Oeste Brasil
3 : 1
Uniao PR
16 Aug
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
02 Aug
Uniao PR
3 : 2
Oeste Brasil
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Batel 6
Rolandia EC 0
Iraty 2
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 3
Vere FC 1
Oeste Brasil 0
Toledo 3
Semi-finals
Batel 4
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 1
Toledo 8
Final
Batel 2
Toledo 1