Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs Puertollano C.F.

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Ghabbour N.
Own Goal
68' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Toledo and Puertollano C.F. finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puertollano C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Toledo
20%
Draws
16%
Puertollano C.F.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Puertollano C.F. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Toledo a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Toledo Clean Sheet 68%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Puertollano C.F.
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Puertollano C.F.
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Toledo
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Toledo
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Puertollano C.F.
0:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Puertollano C.F.
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Puertollano C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 68 / 100
Puertollano C.F. 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Puertollano C.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toledo scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Puertollano C.F.'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Puertollano C.F.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Puertollano C.F.
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
Page 1 of 7

Puertollano C.F.

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
04 Aug
Socuellamos
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)