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Toledo vs Villarrubia Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Nanclares S.
81' Event
Diez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between Toledo and Villarrubia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Toledo
30%
Draws
29%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Toledo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Toledo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Toledo Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Villarrubia
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Villarrubia
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Toledo
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Villarrubia
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Toledo
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Villarrubia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanclares S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 42 / 100
Villarrubia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Villarrubia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Toledo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Villarrubia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
27 Sept
Toledo
4 : 0
La Solana
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
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Villarrubia

(Away)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Torrijos 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
3 Villarrobledo 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
4 Illescas 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Toledo 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 UD Almansa 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
7 Marchamalo 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
8 Villacanas 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
9 Noblejas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
10 CD Tarancon 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 CD Villa 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
12 Socuellamos 4 0 3 1 1:3 3
13 La Solana 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
14 Quintanar del Rey 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
15 Villarrubia 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
16 San Clemente 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
17 CD Guadalajara B 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
18 Huracan de Balazote 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)