Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Lacey D.
44'
44'
Talbot A.
49'
49'
O'Reilly G.
AI Match Summary
Killester Donnycarney in this FAI Cup 2015 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Killester Donnycarney lately — more wins on the board than Tolka.
- Win probability leans Tolka's way, sitting at 40%.
- Killester Donnycarney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Killester Donnycarney, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tolka | Killester Donnycarney |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 25 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2015 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Killester Donnycarney
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tolka Compare
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Killester Donnycarney Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Reilly G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lacey D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tolka 38 / 100
Killester Donnycarney 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tolka Killester Donnycarney
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tolka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Tolka's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.
Killester Donnycarney let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.
Killester Donnycarney's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tolka VS Killester Donnycarney
1.2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tolka
(Home) 19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
29 May
Tolka
2 : 1 Waterford
31 May
Tolka
2 : 2 College Corinthians
29 Mar
Tolka
2 : 1 Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 2
Killester Donnycarney
(Away) 17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1 Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7 Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6 Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1 Firhouse
Page 1 of 5
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1 Killester Donnycarney
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6 Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
02 Sept
Malahide United
5 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
11 Aug
Lucan Utd
2 : 1 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1
