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Tolmin vs Dob

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Rodrigues M.
90' Event
Vuk S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Tolmin and Dob finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tolmin
35%
Draws
32%
Dob
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dob come out ahead of Tolmin on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 15%
Dob Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Dob
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Dob
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 3. SNL - West
Dob vs Tolmin
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Dob
2:2
May 7, 2016 2. SNL
Tolmin vs Dob
3:2
Mar 19, 2016 2. SNL
Dob vs Tolmin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tolmin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dob Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 35 / 100
Dob 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Dob

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dob Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tolmin remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Tolmin scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Dob conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Dob
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
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Dob

(Away)
29 Aug
Ziri
0 : 3
Dob
22 Aug
Dob
4 : 0
Skofja Loka
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
24 May
Fama Vipava
2 : 2
Dob
16 May
Dob
3 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 3 3 0 0 19:2 9
2 Zidgrad Idrija 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Dob 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
4 Rudar Trbovlje 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Sencur 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
6 Tolmin 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Ziri 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
8 Skofja Loka 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
9 Litija 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Sobec Lesce 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
11 Adria Miren 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
13 IB 1975 Ljubljana 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
14 Fama Vipava 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)