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Tolmin vs Izola

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tolmin host Izola in the 3. SNL - West. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Izola have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Tolmin have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Tolmin have won 3 to Izola's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.69) point toward Izola. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tolmin
30%
Draws
44%
Izola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Izola lately — more wins on the board than Tolmin.
  • Win probability leans Izola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%
Izola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Izola
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.84
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Izola
0:1
Apr 27, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Izola
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
1:1
May 21, 2022 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 10 / 100
Izola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Izola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Tolmin stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tolmin found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Izola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Izola
2 Goals Scored 4.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
Page 1 of 6

Izola

(Away)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
29 Aug
Izola
11 : 0
Fama Vipava
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4
Izola
15 Aug
Izola
4 : 0
Litija
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 5 5 0 0 27:4 15
2 Zidgrad Idrija 5 4 1 0 7:2 13
3 Dob 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
4 Rudar Trbovlje 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Tolmin 5 2 3 0 11:8 9
6 Skofja Loka 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Sencur 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
8 Litija 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
9 Ziri 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
10 Adria Miren 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
11 IB 1975 Ljubljana 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
12 Fama Vipava 5 1 0 4 8:25 3
13 Sobec Lesce 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 5 0 1 4 5:14 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)