Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tolmin vs Izola

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Tolmin and Izola finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Izola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tolmin
22%
Draws
18%
Izola
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tolmin come out ahead of Izola on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Tolmin taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%
Izola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Izola
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.38 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Izola
0:1
Apr 27, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Izola
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
1:1
May 21, 2022 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 56 / 100
Izola 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Izola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Tolmin stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tolmin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Izola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Izola
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3
Tolmin
25 Apr
Tolmin
5 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Izola

(Away)
23 May
Sencur
0 : 3
Izola
17 May
Izola
2 : 1
Sobec Lesce
09 May
Ljubljana Svoboda
2 : 2
Izola
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Ziri
1 : 5
Izola
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)