Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tolmin vs Skofja Loka

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skofja Loka in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skofja Loka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tolmin
6%
Draws
4%
Skofja Loka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tolmin have won more games recently than Skofja Loka.
  • Model gives Tolmin a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 19%
Skofja Loka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Skofja Loka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
0:5
Aug 13, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
3:1
Apr 16, 2022 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 85 / 100
Skofja Loka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Skofja Loka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Skofja Loka conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tolmin went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tolmin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Skofja Loka
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3
Tolmin
25 Apr
Tolmin
5 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Skofja Loka

(Away)
23 May
Ljubljana Svoboda
2 : 1
Skofja Loka
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
10 May
Ziri
0 : 4
Skofja Loka
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3
Tolmin
25 Apr
Zidgrad Idrija
0 : 1
Skofja Loka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)