Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tolmin vs Skofja Loka

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kurincic J.
55' Event
Kazic D.
73' Event
Poljanec B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tolmin
35%
Draws
28%
Skofja Loka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tolmin have won more games recently than Skofja Loka.
  • Model gives Tolmin a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 16%
Skofja Loka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Skofja Loka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
2:2
May 2, 2026 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
0:5
Aug 13, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tolmin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurincic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekete F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Skofja Loka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poljanec B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 57 / 100
Skofja Loka 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Skofja Loka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Skofja Loka conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Tolmin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Tolmin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Skofja Loka
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
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Skofja Loka

(Away)
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
12 Sept
Skofja Loka
3 : 2
IB 1975 Ljubljana
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Dob
4 : 0
Skofja Loka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 6 6 0 0 28:4 18
2 Zidgrad Idrija 6 5 1 0 10:4 16
3 Dob 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
4 Rudar Trbovlje 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
5 Sencur 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
6 Skofja Loka 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
7 Tolmin 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
8 Litija 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Adria Miren 6 2 1 3 11:11 7
10 Ziri 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
11 IB 1975 Ljubljana 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
12 Fama Vipava 6 1 0 5 10:28 3
13 Sobec Lesce 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)