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Tolo IF vs Hoganas Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022
Tolo IF Logo

Tolo IF

3 - 3
FT
Hoganas Logo

Hoganas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tolo IF
30%
Draws
12%
Hoganas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tolo IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolo IF have won more games recently than Hoganas.
  • Win probability leans Tolo IF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tolo IF Clean Sheet 16%
Hoganas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolo IF Hoganas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hoganas vs Tolo IF
2:1
May 22, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Hoganas
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolo IF 84 / 100
Hoganas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolo IF Hoganas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolo IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoganas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tolo IF scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Tolo IF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tolo IF VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolo IF

(Home)
22 Oct
Tolo IF
0 : 1
Savedalen
14 Oct
Husqvarna
1 : 1
Tolo IF
08 Oct
Tolo IF
1 : 1
Laholms
30 Sept
Tolo IF
2 : 0
Lindome
23 Sept
Nassjo
3 : 2
Tolo IF
Page 1 of 7

Hoganas

(Away)
15 Oct
Torslanda
5 : 2
Hoganas
08 Oct
Hoganas
1 : 3
Onsala
01 Oct
Assyriska BK
3 : 2
Hoganas
24 Sept
Landvetter
4 : 0
Hoganas
17 Sept
Hoganas
2 : 2
Husqvarna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eskilsminne 26 21 1 4 62:15 64
2 BK Astrio 26 19 4 3 74:30 61
3 Husqvarna 26 17 6 3 50:16 57
4 Frolunda 26 16 4 6 49:32 52
5 Onsala 26 13 6 7 58:32 45
6 Savedalen 26 12 6 8 55:45 42
7 Hittarp 26 13 3 10 59:50 42
8 Torslanda 26 8 7 11 48:48 31
9 Varbergs GIF 26 8 4 14 37:54 28
10 Landvetter 26 8 3 15 36:46 27
11 Tolo IF 26 6 6 14 31:61 24
12 Assyriska BK 26 4 5 17 20:58 17
13 Hoganas 26 3 4 19 28:70 13
14 Ullareds IK 26 4 1 21 22:72 13
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)