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Tolosa vs Sodupe

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Tolosa and Sodupe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tolosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tolosa
20%
Draws
80%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tolosa come out ahead of Sodupe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sodupe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 16%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolosa Sodupe
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Tolosa
1:2
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Sodupe
2:1
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Tolosa
2:1
Sep 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Sodupe
1:1
Jan 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Tolosa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolosa 10 / 100
Sodupe 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolosa Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tolosa scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Sodupe let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Sodupe has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolosa VS Sodupe
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolosa

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
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Sodupe

(Away)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
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