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Tolosa vs Uritarra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Tolosa Logo

Tolosa

1 - 3
FT
Uritarra Logo

Uritarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uritarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uritarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tolosa
15%
Draws
85%
Uritarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uritarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uritarra lately — more wins on the board than Tolosa.
  • Model gives Uritarra a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 10%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolosa Uritarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Uritarra
1:3
Nov 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Tolosa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolosa 10 / 100
Uritarra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolosa Uritarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uritarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uritarra conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Tolosa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Uritarra has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolosa VS Uritarra
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolosa

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

Uritarra

(Away)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)