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Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toluca U21 host Atlas U21 in the Liga MX U21. Little to choose between these two on current form. Toluca U21 have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Atlas U21's 1.26 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Toluca U21 have won 1 to Atlas U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.88, favoring Toluca U21. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Toluca U21
15%
Draws
35%
Atlas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas U21 haven't matched Toluca U21's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Toluca U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toluca U21 Atlas U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21
5:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Toluca U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toluca U21 42 / 100
Atlas U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toluca U21 Atlas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toluca U21 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Toluca U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Atlas U21 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toluca U21 VS Atlas U21
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca U21

(Home)
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Necaxa U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 7

Atlas U21

(Away)
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0
Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
15 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
01 Aug
Atlas U21
0 : 1
Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 7 6 0 1 13:7 15
2 Club Tijuana U21 6 4 0 2 10:7 14
3 Toluca U21 5 5 0 0 10:3 13
4 Puebla U21 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
5 Club America U21 7 4 0 3 11:10 12
6 Cruz Azul U21 6 5 0 1 15:8 11
7 Necaxa U21 7 4 0 3 8:10 11
8 Atlas U21 6 3 0 3 10:5 10
9 Guadalajara Chivas U21 6 3 0 3 10:9 10
10 Monterrey U21 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
11 Pachuca U21 7 2 0 5 8:11 9
12 Santos Laguna U21 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
13 Atletico San Luis U21 7 3 0 4 10:13 8
14 UNAM Pumas U21 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Juarez U21 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
16 Atlante U21 7 1 0 6 7:16 6
17 Tigres UANL U21 7 1 0 6 5:15 4
18 Queretaro U21 6 1 0 5 5:9 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)