Sport Picks
Toluca U21 vs Club Tijuana U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
Match Events
40'
40'
Virgen O.
45'
45'
Virgen O.
51'
51'
Diaz C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 game between Toluca U21 and Club Tijuana U21 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toluca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Toluca U21 taking it.
- Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Toluca U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Club Tijuana U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca U21 | Club Tijuana U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Club Tijuana U21
5:0
Feb 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Club Tijuana U21
4:2
Oct 22, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Tijuana U21 vs Toluca U21
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Virgen O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Diaz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Club Tijuana U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca U21 85 / 100
Club Tijuana U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca U21 Club Tijuana U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Toluca U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Toluca U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Club Tijuana U21 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Toluca U21 VS Club Tijuana U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca U21
(Home) 17 Oct
Toluca U21
4 : 1 Atletico San Luis U21
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2 Toluca U21
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
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17 Oct
Toluca U21
4 : 1 Atletico San Luis U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Necaxa U21
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Club Tijuana U21
(Away) 16 Oct
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0 Puebla U21
10 Oct
Juarez U21
1 : 0 Club Tijuana U21
25 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 2 Atlas U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1 Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1 Queretaro U21
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10 Oct
Juarez U21
1 : 0 Club Tijuana U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1 Club Tijuana U21
05 Sept
Club America U21
4 : 3 Club Tijuana U21
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 2 Club Tijuana U21
31 Jul
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 0 Club Tijuana U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 26:9 | 33 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 4 | Club Tijuana U21 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Club America U21 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna U21 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 15:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Necaxa U21 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlante U21 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 11 | Puebla U21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 12 | Monterrey U21 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22:18 | 16 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL U21 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas U21 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 15 | Juarez U21 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 11:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Cruz Azul U21 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:19 | 14 |
| 17 | Pachuca U21 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15:25 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
