Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Toluca host Club Tijuana in the Liga MX 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Toluca have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Club Tijuana's 1.43 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Toluca have won 4 to Club Tijuana's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.49 xG vs 1.40) point toward Toluca. Toluca in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toluca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Club Tijuana.
- Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Toluca.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.86 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca Compare
Club Tijuana Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Club Tijuana let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Toluca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Club Tijuana lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |