Sport Picks
Toluca vs Los Angeles FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA 
Match Events
30'
30'
Martinez D.
56'
56'
del Villar E.
57'
57'
Sub
Long A. In: Porteous R.
Out: Long A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Angeles FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Toluca have won more games recently than Los Angeles FC.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Toluca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Los Angeles FC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Los Angeles FC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Toluca Clean Sheet 68%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Leagues Cup
Toluca vs Los Angeles FC
0:1
May 7, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Toluca vs Los Angeles FC
4:0
Apr 30, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Los Angeles FC vs Toluca
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Los Angeles FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Segura E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca 41 / 100
Los Angeles FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca Los Angeles FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Los Angeles FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Toluca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Toluca VS Los Angeles FC
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca
(Home) 10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2 Toluca
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1 Toluca
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3 Toluca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2 Atlas
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0 Monterrey
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0 Club Leon
31 Aug
Toluca
4 : 0 Juarez
Page 1 of 4
Los Angeles FC
(Away) 27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0 Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles FC
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2 Los Angeles FC
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
