Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomar vs BSAD

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomar in this Primeira Liga 1975/1976 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tomar
30%
Draws
47%
BSAD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BSAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomar haven't matched BSAD's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans BSAD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BSAD have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tomar Clean Sheet 15%
BSAD Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomar BSAD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 1976 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs BSAD
3:1
Sep 28, 1975 Liga Portugal
BSAD vs Tomar
2:0
Feb 23, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs BSAD
0:1
Oct 27, 1974 Liga Portugal
BSAD vs Tomar
1:0
Jan 21, 1973 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs BSAD
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomar 10 / 100
BSAD 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomar BSAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BSAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

BSAD let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tomar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomar VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomar

(Home)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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BSAD

(Away)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
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