Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomar vs CD Rabo Peixe

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Motty D.
34' Event
Costa R. M.
46'
Mosquera J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 game between Tomar and CD Rabo Peixe finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Rabo Peixe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tomar
15%
Draws
42%
CD Rabo Peixe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Rabo Peixe come out ahead of Tomar on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tomar Clean Sheet 68%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomar CD Rabo Peixe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Tomar vs CD Rabo Peixe
0:4
Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs Tomar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Top Goalscorer Motty D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa R. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomar 41 / 100
CD Rabo Peixe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomar CD Rabo Peixe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Rabo Peixe has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tomar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: CD Rabo Peixe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomar VS CD Rabo Peixe
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomar

(Home)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
Page 1 of 6

CD Rabo Peixe

(Away)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)