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Tomares UD vs Cadiz B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Leon M.
79' Event
Gonzalez J.
90' Event
Navarro Mateos I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Tomares UD and Cadiz B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomares UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tomares UD
30%
Draws
23%
Cadiz B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomares UD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Tomares UD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tomares UD here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 68%
Cadiz B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD Cadiz B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs Cadiz B
2:2
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs Cadiz B
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cadiz B vs Tomares UD
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro Mateos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cadiz B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 59 / 100
Cadiz B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD Cadiz B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomares UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomares UD found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Cadiz B conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Tomares UD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomares UD VS Cadiz B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomares UD

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
20 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 0
Cordoba B
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
04 Aug
Tomares UD
3 : 1
Betis B
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Cadiz B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Pozoblanco
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
29 Aug
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Atletico Central
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)