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Tomares UD vs CD Utrera

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Molero P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Tomares UD and CD Utrera finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Utrera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tomares UD
30%
Draws
43%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • CD Utrera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Utrera a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CD Utrera here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 17%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD CD Utrera
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs CD Utrera
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Tomares UD
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs CD Utrera
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Tomares UD
1:0
Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Tomares UD
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Molero P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 20 / 100
CD Utrera 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Utrera has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tomares UD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tomares UD scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomares UD VS CD Utrera
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomares UD

(Home)
04 Aug
Tomares UD
3 : 1
Betis B
10 May
Tomares UD
2 : 1
Cadiz B
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0
Tomares UD
19 Apr
Tomares UD
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
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CD Utrera

(Away)
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
19 Apr
CD Utrera
0 : 0
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
12 Apr
Pozoblanco
1 : 1
CD Utrera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)