Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomares UD vs Coria C.F.

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomares UD play Coria C.F. in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomares UD averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Coria C.F. averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Tomares UD won 2, Coria C.F. won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Tomares UD and 1.00 for Coria C.F.. This points to a Tomares UD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tomares UD
34%
Draws
21%
Coria C.F.
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Tomares UD picked up more points recently compared to Coria C.F..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 23%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD Coria C.F.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Tomares UD
2:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs Coria C.F.
5:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs Coria C.F.
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Tomares UD
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Buzon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Matellan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Coria C.F. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 45 / 100
Coria C.F. 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD Coria C.F.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tomares UD or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomares UD attacking → ← attacking Coria C.F.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomares UD scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Coria C.F. let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Tomares UD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coria C.F. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 21
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ciudad de Lucena34227569:2573
2Dos Hermanas341861069:3960
3Atletico Central341510936:2955
4Bollullos341411943:3553
5AD Ceuta B3414101038:3852
6Linense341313845:3252
7Cadiz B3414101050:3852
8Conil341571243:4452
9Cordoba B341281444:4444
10CD Utrera341281440:4744
11Pozoblanco3410131139:4443
12Chiclana3410131139:4543
13San Roque de Lepe3410131139:3943
14Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3410101436:4340
15Tomares UD341091534:4639
16Sevilla C341081634:4138
17Castilleja CF34691928:6227
18Coria C.F.34492124:5921