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Stadium Background

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Blonianka Blonie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Wlodarczyk R.
52' Event
Nowakowski K.

AI Match Summary

Blonianka Blonie in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blonianka Blonie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
38%
Blonianka Blonie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Blonianka Blonie.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tomaszow Mazowiecki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Blonianka Blonie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Blonianka Blonie
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Blonianka Blonie
0:2
Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Blonianka Blonie
4:0
May 22, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Blonianka Blonie Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlodarczyk R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nowakowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 40 / 100
Blonianka Blonie 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Blonianka Blonie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Blonianka Blonie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Blonianka Blonie has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Blonianka Blonie
3 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

(Home)
11 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 3
Star Starachowice
04 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Wda Swiecie
30 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 May
MKS Mlawa
3 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
17 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

Blonianka Blonie

(Away)
11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
12 Feb
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
27 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
29 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
19 Jul
Blonianka Blonie
1 : 3
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LKS Lodz II34208676:4168
2Legionowo341810671:4364
3Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki341810662:3964
4Swit Mazowiecki34187966:4561
5Legia II341510966:4855
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341510951:4355
7Unia Skierniewice341581141:3853
8MKS Mlawa341571283:7152
9Jagiellonia II3413101165:5449
10Pilica Bialobrzegi341291353:5545
11Pelikan341291356:5245
12Sokol Ostroda341061849:7136
13Olimpia Zambrow34991640:6336
14Bron Radom34981760:7635
15Warta Sieradz348101639:5334
16Concordia Elblag34891738:6133
17Blonianka Blonie34862035:6830
18Ursus Warszawa345101942:7225
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)