Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0 - 5

Olimpia Zambrow

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Drapsa A.

23'

Malinowski P.

(Penalty)

60'

Malinowski P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow in this III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Zambrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

33%

Draws

27%

Olimpia Zambrow

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Tomaszow Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Olimpia Zambrow.
Win probability leans Tomaszow Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%

Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	Olimpia Zambrow
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	11	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	2.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow

0:5

Nov 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

2:2

Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

1:2

Sep 3, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow

0:1

Apr 17, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Olimpia Zambrow vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinowski P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Drapsa A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 40 / 100

Olimpia Zambrow 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Olimpia Zambrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick T. Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Olimpia Zambrow has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Olimpia Zambrow's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Olimpia Zambrow

2.63 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

(Home)

11 Jul

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

1 : 3

Star Starachowice

04 Jul

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

1 : 4

Wda Swiecie

30 May

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0 : 0

Olimpia Elblag

24 May

MKS Mlawa

3 : 1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

17 May

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

2 : 0

Swit Mazowiecki

Page 1 of 7

Olimpia Zambrow

(Away)

18 Jul

Olimpia Zambrow

0 : 3

Troszyn

01 Mar

Olimpia Zambrow

1 : 2

Pogon Siedlce 2

15 Feb

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

2 : 2

Olimpia Zambrow

01 Feb

Olimpia Zambrow

1 : 1

Podlasie Sokolow Podlaski

29 Jan

Jagiellonia II

3 : 0

Olimpia Zambrow

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	23	7	4	106:32	76
2	Unia Skierniewice	34	19	8	7	78:46	65
3	Legia II	34	19	8	7	70:40	65
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	15	11	8	70:52	56
5	GKS Belchatow	34	16	8	10	58:49	56
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	8	11	66:54	53
7	Pelikan	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
8	LKS Lomza	34	14	6	14	52:51	48
9	Bron Radom	34	12	12	10	39:43	48
10	Warta Sieradz	34	13	5	16	43:48	44
11	GKS Wikielec	34	11	10	13	37:46	43
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	9	14	43:50	42
13	Jagiellonia II	34	12	6	16	48:58	42
14	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	41:48	41
15	Olimpia Zambrow	34	10	10	14	52:48	40
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	6	20	37:98	30
17	Legionowo	34	7	6	21	41:71	27
18	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	4	7	23	30:89	19

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