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Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Slask Wroclaw

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki play Slask Wroclaw in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomaszow Mazowiecki averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Slask Wroclaw averaged 2.77 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Tomaszow Mazowiecki won 0, Slask Wroclaw won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Tomaszow Mazowiecki and 2.75 for Slask Wroclaw. This points to a Slask Wroclaw double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
28%
Draws
44%
Slask Wroclaw
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Slask Wroclaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki picked up more points recently compared to Slask Wroclaw.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Slask Wroclaw
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.9 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Polish Cup
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Slask Wroclaw
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Chwalowski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Slask Wroclaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Jezierski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dijakovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 27 / 100
Slask Wroclaw 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Slask Wroclaw

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slask Wroclaw or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomaszow Mazowiecki attacking → ← attacking Slask Wroclaw

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Slask Wroclaw let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Slask Wroclaw lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 53
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75