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Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Patora A.
17' Event
Dunajski A.
24' Event
Wojcik K.

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
6%
Draws
4%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki have won more games recently than Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tomaszow Mazowiecki taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 3 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
4:2
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:3
May 21, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3:4
Oct 17, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
0:0
Apr 24, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunajski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zbroinski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Patora A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wojcik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 85 / 100
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick T. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212