Sport Picks
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
15'
15'
Pawlusinski M.
52'
52'
Kucharczyk O.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suwalki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Suwalki lately — more wins on the board than Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Suwalki taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Suwalki have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | Suwalki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
2:0
May 2, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3:0
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Pawlusinski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Suwalki Compare
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 / 100
Suwalki 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Suwalki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Suwalki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Suwalki has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Tomaszow Mazowiecki has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Suwalki
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Home) 06 Nov
Warta Sieradz
3 : 0 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
31 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 0 Suwalki
24 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
11 Oct
Olimpia Zambrow
3 : 0 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 0 Suwalki
18 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 4
Suwalki
(Away) 31 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 0 Suwalki
24 Oct
Suwalki
4 : 1 KTS Weszlo
17 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 4 Suwalki
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 0 Suwalki
17 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 4 Suwalki
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 30:15 | 31 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 36:28 | 27 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Zabkovia Zabki | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Plock II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:24 | 25 |
| 8 | Pelikan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 9 | Olimpia Zambrow | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31:31 | 21 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 27:27 | 20 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 19 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 27:30 | 18 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 25:33 | 17 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | 15 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 28:41 | 14 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16:35 | 4 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
