Sport Picks
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
17'
17'
Tyska J.
29'
29'
Winkler B.
Own Goal
90'
90'
Chwalowski D.
AI Match Summary
Swit Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swit Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Tomaszow Mazowiecki average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Swit Mazowiecki's 1.63.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | Swit Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:2
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:2
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Chwalowski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Tyska J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 31 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Swit Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Swit Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Tomaszow Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Swit Mazowiecki
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Home) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
23 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 3 LKS Lodz II
14 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
5 : 2 LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 3
Swit Mazowiecki
(Away) 10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7 LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
