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Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Widzew Lodz II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki host Widzew Lodz II in the III Liga - Group I. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Widzew Lodz II have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Tomaszow Mazowiecki have conceded 2.03 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Tomaszow Mazowiecki slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.06, favoring Tomaszow Mazowiecki. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
21%
Widzew Lodz II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Widzew Lodz II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tomaszow Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tomaszow Mazowiecki have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Widzew Lodz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Widzew Lodz II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.69 2
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Widzew Lodz II
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Widzew Lodz II vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Widzew Lodz II
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 38 / 100
Widzew Lodz II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Widzew Lodz II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomaszow Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Widzew Lodz II conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Widzew Lodz II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Widzew Lodz II
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

(Home)
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
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Widzew Lodz II

(Away)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2
Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)