Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomayapo vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio IV Centenario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomayapo play Aurora in the Division Profesional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomayapo averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Aurora averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Tomayapo won 2, Aurora won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Tomayapo and 2.00 for Aurora. This points to a Aurora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tomayapo
6%
Draws
90%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aurora has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tomayapo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Aurora.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division Profesional provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Aurora Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Aurora
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Aurora
0:2
Sep 19, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Tomayapo
1:2
May 4, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Aurora
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Aurora
2:1
Aug 26, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Tomayapo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivera D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 10 / 100
Aurora 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Aurora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomayapo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Aurora let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Tomayapo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aurora lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Aurora
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1The Strongest853013:718
2Always Ready852114:517
3Aurora944114:916
4Bolivar943220:1015
5Blooming833214:1012
6Nacional Potosi933312:1012
7Independiente733111:1012
8Real Oruro832317:1611
9Guabira932414:2011
10Real Potosi82429:710
11Club Universitario de Vinto931515:1610
12Oriente Petrolero831410:1110
13Academia del Balompie830513:209
14San Antonio Bulo Bulo821510:147
15GV San Jose81259:165
16Tomayapo81255:195