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Tomayapo vs Independiente

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Tue, Sep 1, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-6. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Tomayapo at 1 goals for, 2.19 against; Independiente at 1.47 for, 1.84 against. Head-to-head, Tomayapo have won 2 to Independiente's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward Independiente. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tomayapo
15%
Draws
54%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tomayapo taking it.
  • Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tomayapo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 15%
Independiente Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Independiente
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:6
Sep 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 35 / 100
Independiente 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Tomayapo scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Tomayapo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Independiente
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
26 Aug
Real Potosi
0 : 1
Tomayapo
23 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Always Ready
14 Aug
Club Universitario de Vinto
0 : 1
Tomayapo
07 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Real Oruro
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
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Independiente

(Away)
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1
Guabira
22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0
Independiente
19 Aug
Independiente
5 : 2
Blooming
17 Aug
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2
Independiente
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Aurora 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Academia del Balompie 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
2 Nacional Potosi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tomayapo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Real Oruro 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 The Strongest 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Oriente Petrolero 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 GV San Jose 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Bolivar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Blooming 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)