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Tomayapo vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Tomayapo Logo

Tomayapo

3 - 0
FT
Independiente Logo

Independiente

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Aguilera C.
Assist: Ribera J.
35' Event
Montenegro L. S.
Assist: Alvarez Y.
42'
Mendoza G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tomayapo
20%
Draws
51%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tomayapo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Independiente
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:1
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:0
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilera C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montenegro L. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 30 / 100
Independiente 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Tomayapo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Tomayapo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Independiente
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
09 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 0
Tomayapo
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0
Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
Page 1 of 6

Independiente

(Away)
12 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 0
Independiente
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3
Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)