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Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Montenegro L. S.
46'
Sub
Arce Pari J. In: Medina K.
Out: Arce Pari J.
56'
Suarez R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tomayapo
30%
Draws
39%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional Potosi come out ahead of Tomayapo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nacional Potosi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nacional Potosi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Potosi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nacional Potosi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Sep 3, 2026 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo
5:1
Jul 26, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo
1:0
Jul 22, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Eguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nacional Potosi Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 10 / 100
Nacional Potosi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tomayapo scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Nacional Potosi let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tomayapo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Nacional Potosi
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
17 Sept
Tomayapo
0 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Potosi

(Away)
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
16 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 4
Always Ready
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 7 4 3 0 11:6 15
2 Real Potosi 7 3 2 2 10:10 11
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 7 3 1 3 13:8 10
4 Academia del Balompie 7 2 0 5 9:11 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 6 3 2 1 19:5 11
2 Tomayapo 6 3 1 2 10:12 10
3 Always Ready 6 2 1 3 8:19 7
4 Real Oruro 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 6 3 2 1 10:9 11
2 Oriente Petrolero 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
4 Guabira 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
2 Independiente 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
3 GV San Jose 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
4 Blooming 6 1 0 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)