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Tomayapo vs Real Oruro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Tomayapo Logo

Tomayapo

2 - 1
FT
Real Oruro Logo

Real Oruro

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nouet F.
Assist: Montenegro L. S.
33'
Rivera E.
35' Event
Pinto D.
Assist: Ari Cruz J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tomayapo
20%
Draws
51%
Real Oruro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Oruro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Oruro come out ahead of Tomayapo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Real Oruro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Oruro, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 16%
Real Oruro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Real Oruro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Oruro vs Tomayapo
4:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
2:1
Aug 7, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
1:2
Nov 28, 2025 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs Tomayapo
5:2
Jul 17, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Real Oruro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouet F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robles D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Real Oruro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 36 / 100
Real Oruro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Real Oruro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oruro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Oruro let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tomayapo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Tomayapo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Real Oruro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0
Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
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Real Oruro

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Real Oruro
2 : 2
Always Ready
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 7 5 2 0 16:6 17
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 7 1 0 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)