Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tombense vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida, Tombos
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Freitas P.
45'
Ribeiro A. C.
53'
Joao Vitor

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro game between Tombense and URT finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tombense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tombense
17%
Draws
13%
URT
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tombense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Tombense on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Tombense taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tombense Clean Sheet 68%
URT Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tombense URT
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Mineiro
URT vs Tombense
3:1
Feb 20, 2026 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Mineiro
Tombense vs URT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tombense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jefferson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tombense 77 / 100
URT 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tombense URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tombense found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tombense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: URT registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tombense VS URT
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tombense

(Home)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 7

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG835016:814
2URT83237:711
3Uberlandia82338:129
4Democrata GV82153:87
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America MG843110:615
2Pouso Alegre841314:1413
3Tombense833210:712
4Betim FC82336:99
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro850314:715
2North Esporte Clube832314:1111
3Itabirito821510:177
4Athletic Club81437:137
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)