Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017

CD Yuncos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tomelloso play CD Yuncos in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomelloso averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. CD Yuncos averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Tomelloso won 1, CD Yuncos won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Tomelloso and 1.38 for CD Yuncos. This points to a Tomelloso double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Tomelloso

23%

Draws

27%

CD Yuncos

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Tomelloso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Tomelloso picked up more points recently compared to CD Yuncos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Tomelloso Clean Sheet 17%

CD Yuncos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tomelloso	CD Yuncos
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	5	4
Draws	9	5
Losses	17	21
Goals Scored	0.74	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Tomelloso vs CD Yuncos

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Aug 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

CD Yuncos vs Tomelloso

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomelloso 48 / 100

CD Yuncos 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tomelloso CD Yuncos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tomelloso or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomelloso attacking → ← attacking CD Yuncos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomelloso scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

CD Yuncos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tomelloso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Yuncos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 17

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	8	5	89:37	83
2	Conquense	38	23	6	9	74:43	75
3	Villarrobledo	38	19	13	6	75:42	70
4	Guadalajara	38	21	7	10	64:43	70
5	Villarrubia	38	20	7	11	61:38	67
6	UD Almansa	38	18	9	11	68:54	63
7	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	17	11	10	53:40	62
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	13	13	12	61:52	52
9	Azuqueca	38	15	7	16	67:57	52
10	Madridejos	38	14	9	15	43:53	51
11	Marchamalo	38	14	8	16	43:49	50
12	Almagro	38	13	10	15	44:52	49
13	Tomelloso	38	14	6	18	46:53	48
14	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	46:66	46
15	Albacete B	38	11	12	15	49:56	45
16	CD Pedroneras	38	10	15	13	46:45	45
17	Toledo 2	38	12	8	18	47:61	44
18	Illescas	38	12	3	23	56:82	39
19	UD Carrion	38	6	8	24	37:90	26
20	CD Yuncos	38	3	7	28	24:80	16