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Tomelloso vs Marchamalo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cabo O.
40' Event
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Tomelloso and Marchamalo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Tomelloso
15%
Draws
53%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomelloso haven't matched Marchamalo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Marchamalo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 23%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomelloso Marchamalo
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Tomelloso
0:1
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Marchamalo
0:2
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Tomelloso
4:1
Dec 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Marchamalo
0:1
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Tomelloso
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomelloso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabo O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomelloso 10 / 100
Marchamalo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomelloso Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marchamalo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Tomelloso found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Tomelloso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marchamalo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomelloso

(Home)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

Marchamalo

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)